Neil Ferguson, professor at Imperial College, provided the basis of the current lockdown policy with his grossly inaccurate coronavirus computer model that predicted as many as 2.2 million would die in the USA. How wrong was he? According to the CDC, the USA Covid death count has reached 180,000 as of 9/14/2020. The CDC also admits that only 6% of these deaths are Covid-only deaths. That leaves us with about 11,000 Covid-only deaths. Many of the Covid-only deaths are merely presumed to be Covid deaths based on symptoms so the number of Covid-only deaths could be far smaller. Each year more people die from the flu, and around a half-a-million or more die from each of heart disease, cancer, and smoking-related deaths, so why all the panic about a virus?
The master of disaster, as Ferguson is called by some academics, has a long history of getting things wrong:
- In 2001 millions of sheep were slaughtered based on his predictions of an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease. The assumptions used in the model have been questioned by some scientists.
- In 2002, Ferguson predicted that (by 2080) up to 50,000 (150,000 worst-case scenario) people might die from exposure to BSE (mad cow disease) in beef. As of 2015 there have only been 177 deaths from BSE.
- In 2005, Ferguson predicted that up to 150 million people could die from bird flu. In the end, only 282 people died worldwide from the disease between 2003 and 2009.
- In 2009, Ferguson predicted that swine flu could lead to as many as 65,000 UK deaths. In the end swine flu killed 457 people in the UK.
So, why is an academic who has gotten so many important predictions so very wrong, even given funding to continue his work, much less having his “research” being used as the basis of the lock down of countries around the world?
Well, a quick look at one of the funders of Imperial College provides a possible answer: Bill Gates provided grants to Imperial College. And who stands to benefit the most from the panic and policies ensuing from the coronavirus scare? Bill Gates. If you look at Bill Gates’s biggest donations you’ll see that they mostly have in common some connection to vaccines. Meanwhile as a result of the virus panic we are told that we can eagerly await a vaccine to end the lock down … for a crisis that never was!
One interesting twist to the Ferguson story is the affair he had with a married woman while the lock down was in effect and after he had tested positive for the coronavirus. This is like saying you can’t leave your house because the monster that ate Cincinnati has gotten meaner and nastier and now threatens the whole world. You don’t see a monster when you look outside, no-one does, but the guy with a degree and a computer says it is there. He’s been very wrong about monsters before. Nonetheless, everyone shudders at home while the guy with a degree and a computer is discovered to be having a tryst with a married woman whom he has encouraged to risk her life by traveling across London despite the threat of the monster that ate Cincinnati which is now threatening the whole world, according to the man with a degree and a computer.
Such nonsense! Fortunately, we won’t be subjected to nonsense from Ferguson again. Unfortunately, there are oh so many others who are happy to fill the void. Stop believing them.
Sources:
Six questions that Neil Ferguson should be asked
‘Professor Lockdown’ Modeler Resigns in Disgrace
Modeler Neil Ferguson Resigns, Nicknamed ‘The Master of Disaster’
The 12 biggest Bill Gates donations
Gates Foundation Funded BOTH Imperial College and IHME, Failed Model-Makers